Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 17 hours agoBought no at 96¢$84
  • 17 hours agoBought no at 95¢$2
  • 17 hours agoBought no at 95¢$5
  • 17 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$10
  • yesterdaySold yes at 10¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in China is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in China — a citizen of China diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within China do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.