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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

18¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

87¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdaySold yes at 17¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.