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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

14%

Buy Yes

16¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Zambia is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Zambia — a citizen of Zambia diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Zambia do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.