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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

8¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 97¢$5
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 96¢$10
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 96¢$10
  • yesterdayBought no at 98¢$179
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Canada is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Canada — a citizen of Canada diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Canada do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.