Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h |  Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Canada | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Kenya | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| India | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Ethiopia | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Rwanda | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Somalia | 9% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republic of the Congo | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Zambia | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| Burundi | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| Central African Republic | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| China | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Nigeria | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| South Sudan | 5% | — | 7¢ | |
| Tanzania | 5% | — | 7¢ | |
| Angola | 3% | — | 4¢ |
United States
4%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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