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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

8¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 12 hours agoBought no at 96¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 7¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 8¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 7¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 6¢$2
  • yesterdaySold yes at 6¢$0
  • yesterdayBought no at 96¢$137
  • yesterdayBought no at 94¢$42
  • yesterdayBought no at 94¢$14
  • yesterdayBought no at 94¢$9
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in India is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in India — a citizen of India diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within India do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.