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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdayBought no at 98¢$174
  • yesterdayBought no at 97¢$5
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Tanzania — a citizen of Tanzania diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Tanzania do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.