Kalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

Buy Yes

6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in China is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in China — a citizen of China diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within China do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.