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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

11¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

94¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 47 minutes agoBought no at 94¢$4
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 11¢$0
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$1
  • yesterdayBought no at 98¢$134
  • yesterdayBought no at 94¢$24
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Rwanda — a citizen of Rwanda diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Rwanda do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.