Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Nigeria — a citizen of Nigeria diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Nigeria do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.