Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 12¢$5
  • 17 hours agoSold yes at 12¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Kenya is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Kenya — a citizen of Kenya diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Kenya do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.