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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

Pays out if the result is above 3.5.

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

98¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Dec 9, 6:55 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 19 minutes agoSold yes at 98¢$15
  • 41 minutes agoBought no at 5¢$1
  • 51 minutes agoBought no at 5¢$4
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 98¢$10
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 5¢$2
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 3¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.