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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?

Pays out if the result is above 4.25.

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Oct 28, 5:55 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 45 minutes agoSold yes at 2¢$1
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$1
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 99¢$10
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 98¢$20
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 3¢$22
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 3¢$1
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Oct 28, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.