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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Oct 28, 5:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 1¢$8
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$94
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$1
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$0
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$2
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$9
  • 10 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$53
  • 10 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$18
  • 10 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$137
  • 10 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$50
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.