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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Chance

45%

Buy Yes

46¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

55¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Oct 28, 5:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 2 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$10
  • 2 minutes agoBought no at 55¢$917
  • 3 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$10
  • 9 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$48
  • 9 minutes agoBought no at 55¢$132
  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$10
  • 17 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$1
  • 19 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$16
  • 42 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$46
  • 42 minutes agoSold yes at 46¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.