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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?

Chance

11%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

90¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 27, 6:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • yesterdaySold yes at 15¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 15¢$4
  • yesterdaySold yes at 15¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 15¢$4
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.