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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?

Chance

61%

Buy Yes

62¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

41¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 27, 6:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 64¢$4
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 62¢$1
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 59¢$8
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 59¢$59
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$19
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 69¢$138
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 59¢$28
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 62¢$1
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 59¢$3
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 57¢$14
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.