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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will President of France be the first to leave office?

Chance

61%

Buy Yes

71¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 24 hours agoBought no at 33¢$15
  • 24 hours agoBought no at 33¢$330
How this market is decidedShow

If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.