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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 2.5.

Chance

64%

Buy Yes

68¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

40¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Oct 30, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 65¢$67
  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 68¢$98
  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 63¢$2
  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 65¢$109
  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 64¢$213
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 39¢$7
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 62¢$1
  • 13 hours agoSold yes at 61¢$49
  • 13 hours agoSold yes at 60¢$17
  • 13 hours agoSold yes at 60¢$31
How this market is decidedShow

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.