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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.

Chance

21%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

80¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Oct 30, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 21¢$1
  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 22¢$4
  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 22¢$1
  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 22¢$2
  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 21¢$1
  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 23¢$2
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 83¢$21
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 82¢$9
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 82¢$11
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$180
How this market is decidedShow

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.