Kalshi· Science and Technology

Will Google release Gemini 4 before Dec 1, 2026?

Chance

85%

Buy Yes

88¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

18¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Dec 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If Google releases Gemini 4 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.