When will Google release Gemini 4?
The market resolves based on the release date of Google's Gemini 4.
Kalshi$364 traded 24hEnds Sep 15, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 75% | — | 77¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 94% | — | 98¢ | |
| Before Dec 15, 2026 | 94% | — | 98¢ | |
| Before Nov 15, 2026 | 86% | — | 90¢ | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 85% | — | 88¢ | |
| Before Sep 16, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Oct 1, 2026
6%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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