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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will Google release Gemini 4 before Nov 1, 2026?

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

70¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

62¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Nov 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 34¢$68
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 30¢$2
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 31¢$45
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 28¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 27¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 29¢$29
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 77¢$1
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 77¢$39
  • yesterdaySold yes at 75¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 74¢$7
How this market is decidedShow

If Google releases Gemini 4 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.