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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Republicans receive above 12% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Pays out if the result is above 12.

Chance

24%

Buy Yes

38¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

90¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Nov 6, 4:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoBought no at 61¢$122
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 61¢$122
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 61¢$122
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 61¢$366
How this market is decidedShow

If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.