Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?

This market resolves to the Republican party's share of the Black vote in the US midterm elections.

Kalshi$1.4K traded 24hEnds Nov 6, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Above 12%	24%	—	39¢
Above 14%	20%	—	31¢
Above 10%	37%	—	60¢
Above 16%	13%	—	21¢
Above 8%	79%	—	83¢
Above 18%	9%	—	11¢

24%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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