Kalshi· Elections

Will Republicans receive above 8% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Pays out if the result is above 8.

Chance

79%

Buy Yes

83¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

25¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Nov 6, 4:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, yours happens tooWill Republicans receive above 10% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?60¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill Republicans receive above 14% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?31¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill Republicans receive above 16% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?19¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill Republicans receive above 18% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?11¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.

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