Kalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

Pays out if the result is above 40.

Chance

21%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

81¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Jan 5, 1:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?3¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 110 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?3¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?18¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?11¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?10¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 80 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?7¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?9¢

Latest trades

3 hours agoSold yes at 20¢$0
3 hours agoSold yes at 20¢$4
15 hours agoSold yes at 20¢$1

How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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