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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

Pays out if the result is above 90.

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 5, 1:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoBought no at 92¢$7
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 92¢$11
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 92¢$5
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 92¢$1
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 92¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 17¢$9
  • yesterdaySold yes at 18¢$18
  • yesterdaySold yes at 13¢$13
  • yesterdaySold yes at 14¢$14
  • yesterdaySold yes at 11¢$6
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.