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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will September 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (9/14 - 9/20)?

Chance

12%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 51 seconds ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Sep 16, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.