Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will September 19 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (9/14 - 9/20)?

Chance

19%

Buy Yes

21¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

84¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 13¢$26
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 13¢$12
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 13¢$0
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 13¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If Sep 19, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.