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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?

Chance

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Buy Yes

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pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

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pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Aug 4, 1:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.