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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Oct 1, 1:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 19 minutes agoSold yes at 1¢$6
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$25
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$10
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$0
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 99¢$983
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 99¢$2
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 99¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 99¢$990
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 99¢$164
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.