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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Nov 1, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 95¢$100
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$30
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$30
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$56
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$30
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$3
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 95¢$95
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 95¢$846
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.