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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2028?

Chance

56%

Buy Yes

57¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

45¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 47 minutes agoSold yes at 57¢$1
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$1
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$15
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 45¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$1
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 44¢$7
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$1
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$0
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 57¢$8
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 44¢$6
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.