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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2028?

Chance

66%

Buy Yes

67¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

34¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Jul 1, 1:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 60 minutes agoSold yes at 66¢$1
  • 60 minutes agoSold yes at 66¢$367
  • 60 minutes agoSold yes at 66¢$660
  • 60 minutes agoSold yes at 65¢$7
  • 60 minutes agoSold yes at 65¢$6
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$6
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$9
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 35¢$84
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 37¢$4
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 37¢$7
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.