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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2029?

Chance

71%

Buy Yes

72¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

31¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 70¢$140
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 70¢$329
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 70¢$545
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 70¢$142
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 70¢$15
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 70¢$6
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 70¢$4
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 69¢$8
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 69¢$293
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 69¢$21
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.