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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will Gold outperform S&P 500 Total Return Index?

Chance

34%

Buy Yes

35¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

68¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 35¢$3
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 68¢$5
How this market is decidedShow

If Gold performs above S&P 500 Total Return Index for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if the S&P 500 Total Return Index opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.