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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will S&P 500 Total Return Index outperform Gold?

Chance

68%

Buy Yes

69¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

34¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 69¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If S&P 500 Total Return Index performs above Gold for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if the S&P 500 Total Return Index opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.