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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Chance

31%

Buy Yes

31¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

70¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Oct 27, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 50 minutes agoSold yes at 31¢$29
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 70¢$42
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 70¢$7
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 31¢$12
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 31¢$6
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 31¢$5
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 32¢$24
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 32¢$2
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 45¢$22
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 33¢$578
How this market is decidedShow

If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.