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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Yair Golan become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 16 seconds ago. Ends Oct 27, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Yair Golan becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.