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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

16¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

85.1¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 7 minutes agoSold yes at 16¢$1
  • 8 minutes agoSold yes at 16¢$5
  • 18 minutes agoSold yes at 16¢$7
  • 51 minutes agoSold yes at 16¢$18
  • 56 minutes agoBought no at 85¢$18
  • 58 minutes agoSold yes at 16¢$3
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 16¢$6
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 16¢$14
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 16¢$5
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 15.9¢$13
How this market is decidedShow

If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.