Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

4.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 4.9¢$2
  • 35 minutes agoSold yes at 5.1¢$2
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5.3¢$8
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5.4¢$21
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5.3¢$0
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5.3¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6.1¢$0
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 95.9¢$1,392
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 95.8¢$90
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 95.8¢$105
How this market is decidedShow

If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.