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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Sep 2026?

Pays out if the result is 10 or more.

Chance

29%

Buy Yes

44¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

86¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Oct 6, 12:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 51¢$8
  • 17 hours agoBought no at 40¢$80
  • yesterdayBought no at 39¢$73
  • yesterdayBought no at 38¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 71¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 65¢$10
  • yesterdaySold yes at 66¢$9
  • yesterdaySold yes at 66¢$9
  • yesterdaySold yes at 66¢$9
How this market is decidedShow

If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 10 in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.