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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 20 in Sep 2026?

Pays out if the result is 20 or more.

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

10¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

93¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Oct 6, 12:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought no at 90¢$14
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 88¢$12
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 11¢$3
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 12¢$2
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 14¢$14
How this market is decidedShow

If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.