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KalshiKalshi· Elections

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Pays out if the result is 1 or more.

Chance

16%

Buy Yes

19¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

86¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 19¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 18¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 17¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If Elon Musk supports at least 1 non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Special elections between Jul 14, 2026 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.