How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
The market resolves based on the number of Elon Musk-backed challengers who win seats in the United States Congress in 2026.
Kalshi$2 traded 24hEnds Feb 1, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 17% | — | 19¢ | |
| At least 3 | 10% | — | 13¢ | |
| At least 5 | 7% | — | 11¢ | |
| At least 10 | 6% | — | 9.3¢ | |
| At least 75 | 3% | — | 3.7¢ | |
| At least 100 | 3% | — | 3.9¢ | |
| At least 25 | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| At least 50 | 2% | — | 3.8¢ | |
| At least 15 | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| At least 20 | 2% | — | 3¢ |
At least 1
17%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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