Kalshi · Climate and Weather

Will it rain in Miami on Sep 21, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 0.

Open in Terminal Compare venues

Chance

85%

Buy Yes

85¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

16¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$9K

as Kalshi reports it · 679 fills

Spread

1¢

round trip

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 5:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Order book

Live from the venue feed · updated 4 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

85¢72$61
84¢308$259
83¢22$18
82¢41$34
81¢27$22

Sell Yes (asks)

87¢10$9
88¢18$16
89¢31$28
90¢58$52
91¢71$65

Spread: 2¢
Mid: 86¢
Microprice: 86.8¢
Within 5¢: $620 · $45

More money on NoImbalance +87%More money on Yes

Latest trades

3 minutes agoSold yes at 85¢$17
5 minutes agoBought no at 16¢$2
6 minutes agoBought no at 16¢$3
6 minutes agoBought no at 16¢$2
6 minutes agoBought no at 16¢$3
10 minutes agoBought no at 14¢$1
10 minutes agoBought no at 14¢$2
10 minutes agoBought no at 13¢$3
10 minutes agoBought no at 13¢$21
13 minutes agoSold yes at 88¢$1

Rules

How this market is decided

Settled by The Weather Company. Contract terms (PDF)

If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Sep 21, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLIMIA can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.

Rule history

First recordedNo changes since.Sep 20, 9:17 AM UTC