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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Fed cut rates 1 times?

Pays out if the result is 1 to 1.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96.1¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 minutes agoBought no at 96.1¢$71
  • 3 minutes agoBought no at 96.1¢$137
  • 3 minutes agoBought no at 96.3¢$0
  • 3 minutes agoBought no at 96.3¢$31
  • 3 minutes agoBought no at 96.2¢$10
  • 8 minutes agoBought no at 96.1¢$20
  • 8 minutes agoBought no at 96.1¢$9
  • 12 minutes agoBought no at 95.9¢$2
  • 12 minutes agoBought no at 95.9¢$4
  • 12 minutes agoBought no at 95.8¢$4
How this market is decidedShow

If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).