Kalshi· Economics

Will the Fed cut rates 16 times?

Pays out if the result is 16 to 16.

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 0 times?95.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 10 times?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 11 times?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 12 times?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 13 times?0.3¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 14 times?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 15 times?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 17 times?0.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 18 times?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 19 times?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 1 times?3.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Fed cut rates 20 times?0.1¢

Latest trades

5 hours agoSold yes at 0.1¢$0

How this market is decidedShow

If the Fed cuts 16 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

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