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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Pays out if the result is 3 to 3.

Chance

14%

Buy Yes

14¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

87¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Jan 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 14¢$140
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 13¢$33
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 13¢$27
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 13¢$0
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 13¢$0
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 89¢$889
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 88¢$880
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 89¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.